Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.004427 0.004661 0.004900 0.005166 0.005452 0.005751 0.006089
2025-09-28 0.003910 0.004240 0.004594 0.005003 0.005465 0.005972 0.006575
2025-10-05 0.003683 0.004075 0.004508 0.005024 0.005627 0.006313 0.007160
2025-10-12 0.003537 0.003978 0.004477 0.005086 0.005818 0.006678 0.007776
2025-10-19 0.003366 0.003836 0.004377 0.005052 0.005882 0.006881 0.008197
2025-10-26 0.003225 0.003718 0.004293 0.005026 0.005945 0.007078 0.008611
2025-11-02 0.003096 0.003605 0.004208 0.004988 0.005985 0.007242 0.008984
2025-11-09 0.003043 0.003579 0.004225 0.005075 0.006183 0.007612 0.009646
2025-11-16 0.002936 0.003481 0.004147 0.005034 0.006210 0.007754 0.010004
2025-11-23 0.002853 0.003410 0.004097 0.005026 0.006276 0.007949 0.010441
2025-11-30 0.002748 0.003306 0.004001 0.004951 0.006247 0.008009 0.010685
2025-12-07 0.002656 0.003215 0.003918 0.004888 0.006230 0.008081 0.010947
2025-12-14 0.002593 0.003160 0.003880 0.004886 0.006298 0.008278 0.011412
2025-12-21 0.002474 0.003029 0.003738 0.004736 0.006150 0.008158 0.011383
2025-12-28 0.002429 0.002992 0.003720 0.004756 0.006244 0.008392 0.011918
2026-01-04 0.002401 0.002978 0.003730 0.004813 0.006393 0.008715 0.012617
2026-01-11 0.002342 0.002919 0.003678 0.004781 0.006408 0.008834 0.012988
2026-01-18 0.002289 0.002867 0.003633 0.004757 0.006433 0.008968 0.013390
2026-01-25 0.002235 0.002813 0.003583 0.004722 0.006440 0.009072 0.013745
2026-02-01 0.002223 0.002815 0.003611 0.004803 0.006624 0.009467 0.014640
2026-02-08 0.002172 0.002762 0.003561 0.004765 0.006623 0.009561 0.014999
2026-02-15 0.002134 0.002725 0.003531 0.004757 0.006669 0.009732 0.015512
2026-02-22 0.002078 0.002662 0.003463 0.004688 0.006614 0.009732 0.015699